The world still knows how to put on a show.
Auroras turn an encounter between energetic particles and our atmosphere into light. The show is real; predicting your view is harder.
Auroras begin with energetic particles interacting with gases in the upper atmosphere. Those encounters produce light. The familiar curtains are a visible expression of activity in the space around Earth, not a weather effect in the clouds.
NASA explains that oxygen and nitrogen can produce different colors. Earth’s magnetic environment helps shape where auroras appear, which is why the polar regions are so closely associated with them.
For a curious observer, there are two separate questions: is auroral activity expected, and can you actually see the sky? Darkness, cloud cover, location, and the strength of the activity all matter. A forecast is an invitation to look, not a promise of a photograph.
Our suggestion: learn the science first, then check a current forecast before planning around a display. The photograph here illustrates an aurora; it is not a report of conditions tonight.
The evidence desk
Sources
What remains uncertain
This explainer does not predict auroral visibility at your location or on a particular date.
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